For Equity Proposals

Scale-Up Conviction.
Institutional rigor.
Scenario-Tested.

Growth-stage companies have operating history—but projections dominate the thesis. Stress-test assumptions, validate unit economics, and build IC-defensible conviction for investments where the path forward matters more than the path behind.

Scenario Analysis
5 PATHWAYS
Series C SaaS Platform | $18M ARR
Scenario Prob. 5Y Rev IRR
Bull 20% $340M 38%
Base 45% $180M 24%
Bear 25% $95M 11%
Stress 10% $45M -8%
Key Assumption
Base case requires CAC payback ≤14 months sustained through Series D
247 Source Links 12 Explicit Assumptions Full Audit Trail
5+
Scenario Pathways Per Deal
100%
Assumption Traceability
24
Enterprise Domain Coverage
72hr
Investment Memo Turnaround

You're underwriting growth trajectories, not historical performance—but your IC expects the same evidential rigor as a buyout.

The Projection Problem

Growth equity sits between venture optimism and buyout conservatism. Your IC needs to see that aggressive projections have been stress-tested—not just accepted from management decks.

Unit Economics Under Scrutiny

CAC, LTV, payback periods, cohort retention—the metrics that matter for growth are buried in operating data that doesn't arrive in neat financial statements.

Scenario Blindness

Management presents the base case. Your IC wants to see the bear case, the bull case, and the "what if their key assumption breaks" case. Building these manually takes weeks.

Benchmark Gaps

Is their growth rate good? Is their burn sustainable? Without structured comparison against relevant peer sets, you're pattern-matching from memory rather than analysing with data.

From Operating Data to IC Conviction

Upload financials, cohort data, and management materials. Our governed reasoning engine extracts unit economics, validates assumptions, and constructs multi-path scenarios—all with complete provenance.

1

Ingest Operating Reality

Monthly financials, cohort exports, customer data, management presentations. We normalise the chaos.

2

Extract Unit Economics

CAC, LTV, payback, retention curves, contribution margin. Automatically derived with full transparency.

3

Stress-Test Projections

The SDN constructs governed scenarios. What if churn increases? What if CAC degrades? Each pathway probability-weighted.

4

Build IC Materials

Investment memos, scenario analyzes, assumption registers—all with complete provenance trails.

Scenario Intelligence, Not Just Spreadsheet Sensitivity

The Synthetic Data Narrative Network doesn't just flex inputs ±20%. It constructs causally coherent alternative futures grounded in your actual operating data.

Multi-Path Causal Reasoning

Scenarios aren't independent assumptions. If churn increases, CAC efficiency likely degrades as you're forced to reach further down the funnel. SDN models these interdependencies.

Probability-Weighted Outcomes

Not all scenarios are equally likely. Evidence weighting from comparable companies and historical patterns assigns probability to each pathway.

Assumption Archaeology

Every projection management makes embeds assumptions. We make them explicit, traceable, and testable—so your IC can see exactly what has to be true for the plan to work.

Counterfactual Analysis

"What would have to change for this to be a $500M outcome instead of $200M?" Work backward from desired outcomes to required conditions.

Across the Growth Investment Lifecycle

From initial screening to portfolio value creation, governed reasoning with scenario intelligence at every phase.

Growth Screening

Rapid assessment of inbound opportunities. Does the unit economics story hold up? Are growth rates sustainable? First-pass conviction without full diligence commitment.

Screening Memo Unit Economics Summary Red Flag Report

Pre-Investment Diligence

Deep analysis of the opportunity with scenario-tested projections. Understand the full range of outcomes before committing capital.

Investment Memorandum Scenario Analysis Assumption Register

Management Assessment

Evaluate whether the team can execute the growth plan. Compare stated assumptions against industry benchmarks and historical performance patterns.

Management Assessment Thesis Validation Gap Analysis

Portfolio Monitoring

Track performance against the investment thesis. Early identification of trajectory changes requiring intervention or follow-on decisions.

Performance Dashboard Variance Analysis Scenario Refresh

Every Scenario Grounded. Every Assumption Traced.

Growth investing requires conviction in uncertain futures. Our provenance system ensures you can defend that conviction—showing exactly how each scenario, probability weight, and conclusion derives from evidence.

From Operating Data → Unit Economics
"LTV of $4,200 derived from 36-month cohort analysis showing 8.2% monthly revenue retention, $350 average order value, and 2.3 orders per retained customer per year."
From Assumption → Scenario Branch
"Bear case assumes CAC increases 35% based on Meta CPM trends in comparable D2C verticals during 2023-2024 competitive intensification."
From Scenario → Probability Weight
"40% probability assigned to base case based on historical achievement rates for Series B companies with similar margin profiles in this sector."

Aligned With Your Process

Start with a single company analysis or deploy across your portfolio.

Starter
Per-Deal
$12,500 per company
  • Full unit economics extraction
  • 5-scenario analysis
  • Investment memorandum
  • Assumption register
  • 2 revision cycles
Start Analysis
Scale
Enterprise
Custom multi-fund pricing
  • Multi-fund deployment
  • Custom scenario frameworks
  • On-premise option
  • API integration
  • Custom benchmarks
Contact Sales

Built for Projection-Heavy Analysis

Not another AI wrapper. A governed semantic reasoning engine with scenario intelligence designed for growth-stage complexity.

Synthetic Data Narrative Network

Constructs governed multi-path scenarios with causal interdependencies. Forward inference for projections, backward inference for assumption archaeology.

Patent Pending

Orthogramic Metamodel

24 interconnected enterprise domains provide the semantic foundation. Unit economics map to universal structures enabling cross-company comparison.

Open Source Foundation

Governed Semantic Reasoning Engine

Every inference is constrained by explicit rules. Scenarios are bounded by evidence. Trust is constructed through transparency, not assertion.

Enterprise Ready

Ready to Stress-Test Your Next Growth Investment?

Join growth equity firms who've upgraded from spreadsheet sensitivity to scenario intelligence. Start with a single company.