Credit Proposals

Borrowers Send the Projections.
We Stress-Test the Repayment.

Every credit proposal tells the borrower's best-case story. Our Synthetic Data Narrative Network constructs alternative futures—plausible scenarios where their assumptions might not hold—so your credit committee can see the full range of repayment outcomes before extending capital.

Proposal vs. Counter-Scenarios
COVENANT RISK
Borrower Projections
Y3 DSCR 1.85x
Leverage Ratio 2.8x
Default Prob. 2.1%
SDNN Counter-Scenario
Y3 DSCR 1.15x
Leverage Ratio 4.2x
Default Prob. 12.4%
Covenant Breach Risk
Revenue growth of 18% assumes contract renewal. Historical data suggests 12% is more defensible—triggering leverage covenant in Q3 Y2.
4 Stress Scenarios 6 Covenants Tested Full Evidence Chain
5+
Stress Scenarios per Proposal
100%
Assumption Traceability
24
Enterprise Domain Coverage
48hr
Counter-Analysis Turnaround

Every borrower projects comfortable coverage ratios. Your job is to find where they break.

The Optimism Bias

Borrower projections are designed to secure capital. Every revenue forecast, margin assumption, and cash flow projection is framed to show comfortable debt service. You need to test the numbers, not just review them.

Volume vs. rigor

Building comprehensive stress scenarios manually takes days per deal. With proposal volumes, you can't stress-test every assumption—but your credit committee still expects to see what happens when projections slip.

Covenant Cascade

Proposals present covenants in isolation. In reality, revenue shortfalls cascade through EBITDA, coverage ratios, and leverage tests simultaneously. A single missed assumption can trigger multiple breaches.

Collateral Correlation

When borrower performance deteriorates, collateral values often decline in tandem. Static collateral coverage masks the correlation risk that emerges precisely when you need protection most.

Stress Scenarios, Systematically Constructed

The SDNN doesn't just stress-test ratios—it generates complete alternative narratives. Plausible futures where borrower assumptions break, with full causal chains showing exactly how repayment capacity degrades.

Credit Proposal

Borrower financials, projections, and loan documentation

SDNN Analysis

Extract assumptions, stress covenants, generate downside scenarios

Risk Assessment

Stress scenarios with covenant triggers and recovery analysis

Assumption Extraction

Automatically identifies the explicit and implicit assumptions embedded in borrower projections—the revenue growth, margin expansion, and working capital dynamics that debt service depends on.

Covenant Stress Testing

Constructs scenarios where specific assumptions fail and traces through to covenant impact: "What if revenue grows 8% instead of 15%?" "What if working capital needs spike?" Each scenario shows exactly which covenants breach and when.

Cash Flow Propagation

When an assumption changes, the SDNN traces all downstream effects through the cash flow waterfall. A revenue miss doesn't just affect top-line—it impacts EBITDA, debt service, covenant headroom, and liquidity reserves.

Recovery Analysis

For each stress scenario, the SDNN models recovery outcomes—accounting for collateral value correlation, enforcement timelines, and restructuring costs. See loss severity alongside probability of default.

From Proposal to Credit Assessment in 48 Hours

Submit the loan documentation. Receive stress scenarios that challenge every critical assumption.

1

Submit Proposal

Upload borrower financials, projections, loan terms, and covenant package.

2

Assumption Mapping

SDNN extracts every assumption—explicit projections and hidden dependencies that drive debt service capacity.

3

Stress Scenario Generation

Downside scenarios constructed with covenant triggers, breach timing, and recovery estimates.

4

Credit Committee Ready

Receive a complete stress analysis: scenarios compared, covenants tested, risks quantified.

Evaluate Credit Proposals at Every Stage

From initial screening to final credit committee, challenge borrower projections with stress scenarios.

Initial Credit Screening

Rapidly identify which proposals warrant deeper analysis. Surface the assumptions that matter most and flag proposals where borrower projections are most vulnerable.

Assumption Register Sensitivity Heat Map Screen Recommendation

Pre-Committee Analysis

Full stress-test analysis before Credit Committee. Show the complete range of outcomes—from borrower projections to severe downside scenarios with covenant breach timing.

Stress Scenario Report Covenant Breach Analysis Recovery Estimates

Covenant Structuring

Use stress scenarios to structure appropriate covenant levels. Set thresholds that provide early warning while avoiding false triggers in realistic downside cases.

Covenant Recommendations Headroom Analysis Trigger Probabilities

Portfolio Monitoring

Re-stress existing credits when conditions change. Track which original assumptions still hold and identify credits requiring enhanced monitoring or restructuring conversations.

Portfolio Stress Report Watch List Analysis Assumption Drift Tracking

Every Stress Scenario Traces to Evidence

Your credit committee doesn't want opinions—they want analysis they can verify. Every stress scenario, every covenant test, every recovery estimate links back to the evidence that supports it.

Borrower Assumption → Challenge Basis
"Borrower projects 15% revenue growth. Stress scenario uses 6% based on analysis of 18 comparable middle-market companies in sector showing median growth of 8% during economic slowdowns."
Stress Scenario → Covenant Cascade
"Revenue stress propagates through: reduced EBITDA → compressed DSCR from 1.85x to 1.15x → leverage ratio breach in Q3 Y2 → triggering of cash sweep provisions."
Default Scenario → Recovery Analysis
"Recovery estimate of 72% based on: collateral value correlation of 0.6 with borrower performance, 18-month enforcement timeline, comparable transaction recovery rates in sector."

Stress-Test Before You Lend

Start with a single proposal or build stress-test analysis into your standard credit process.

Starter
Per-Proposal
$6,500 per analysis
  • Full assumption extraction
  • 5+ stress scenarios
  • Covenant breach analysis
  • Credit committee-ready report
  • 48-hour turnaround
Submit Proposal
Scale
Enterprise
Custom institution pricing
  • Unlimited proposals
  • Custom stress frameworks
  • API integration
  • On-premise deployment
  • Regulatory reporting
Contact Sales

Built for Credit Proposal Analysis

Not another AI wrapper. A governed reasoning engine designed to challenge borrower projections with stress scenarios.

Orthogramic Metamodel

24 interconnected enterprise domains provide the semantic structure. When an assumption changes, the metamodel ensures all downstream effects cascade correctly through the cash flow waterfall.

Open Source Foundation

Governed Semantic Reasoning Engine

Every inference is constrained by explicit rules. Stress scenarios aren't hallucinated—they're constructed through auditable reasoning steps that your credit committee can verify and challenge.

Enterprise Ready

Ready to Stress-Test Your Next Credit Proposal?

Submit a credit proposal and receive stress scenarios that test every critical assumption. See the downside cases borrowers aren't showing you.